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China's woes will hit South-east Asia's economies

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

China's currency depreciation and the effect on South-east Asian economies.

Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

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GREECE

The prospects for Greek departure from the euro-area.

Greece's more competitive economy may turn to exports

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GREECE

Signs of resilience in the Greek economy.

Creditors will seek geopolitical gains in debt talks

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INTERNATIONAL

Whereas developed economies and China have benefited from USD9tn in fiscal stimulus and USD5tn in liquidity, EMs have less scope because they cannot issue local-currency debt…

COVID-19 and oil shocks raise Gulf recession risks

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GULF STATES

Lower oil and gas revenues are the major transmission channel of the global crisis to regional economies, but tourism, financial and professional services are also taking a major…

Cheap oil will not bridge Turkey's external gap

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TURKEY

Turkey's external balances in 2016.

Turkish go-it-alone policy raises currency crunch risk

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TURKEY

It has fallen from about 6.50 at end-March and 5.95 at end-2019. There is speculation about a possible balance of payments crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic, economic…

Prospects for Turkey in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for Turkey in 2017.

Sri Lanka move on domestic debt will be of limited use

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SRI LANKA

Securing debt restructuring agreements is a key condition of the four-year, USD3bn Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme which the IMF’s Executive Board approved in March…

Turkey's economic policy shift is not worth the risks

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TURKEY

The lira’s collapse has only fortified President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s adherence to unorthodox low-interest-rate policies. Rather than changing course, Erdogan has publicly…