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Markets await the closest French election in years

Location:

FRANCE

Four candidates are polling 18% or more ahead of the April 23 election; two of them are anti-EU, worrying investors

COVID-19 will drive record Latin America recession

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Latin America is now the global hotspot for the pandemic, with over 2mn cases and 100,000 deaths

The world economic downturn will be mild but prolonged

Location:

INT

Core CPI is easing towards 2% official targets in major nations, but not fast enough for rate cuts to boost 2024 growth

Latin American flashpoints have small spillover risk

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Poverty, political tensions and crime make Latin American instability endemic but contained

US recovery masks weak state-level employment outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Despite top-line improvements in the US labour market, acute geographical inequalities persist

Wages in EU's East will not catch up with West soon

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

EU11 labour costs have climbed in the past decade but at current rates will not reach the EU28 average until the 2040s

COVID-19 will likely strengthen Euroscepticism

Location:

EUROPE

A prolonged recession would add to the politics of Euroscepticism, which has gained momentum over the past decade

Ghost of crises past raises Argentine vulnerability

Location:

ARGENTINA

Both domestic and international investors are easily shaken by economic tremors in crisis-prone Argentina

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

The Saudi government will encourage female employment

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Women’s labour force participation is helping expand the private sector’s contribution to the economy