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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

Location:

CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Mexico will be a key player in US-China trade tensions

Location:

MEXICO

However, it appears to have done so in no small part due to geopolitics rather than the strength of its own economy. Chinese investments and Mexican imports of Chinese products…

Parallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy

Location:

RUSSIA

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

Biden will stress regional economic development work

Location:

UNITED STATES

With the economy a central issue for many voters, Biden is stressing his administration’s focus on place-based economic development (PBED), an approach to shaping the economic…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

Location:

NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

China’s exports will recover but trade sanctions loom

Location:

CHINA

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…

US oil and gas sector stays strong under Biden for now

Location:

UNITED STATES

President Joe Biden has adopted a gradual approach to replacing fossil fuels with renewable resources, but a second term would see him under greater pressure to address record…

Venezuelan migrants could boost host countries' growth

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Millions of Venezuelans have fled their homeland in recent years as living standards have deteriorated rapidly, with the vast majority settling in other South American nations…