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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

Location:

ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

Syria’s mild economic recovery faces major constraints

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SYRIA

The economy is not showing serious ill effects from the overspill of the conflict in Gaza or recent aid cuts. The government may even have derived some additional financial…

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

Location:

ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

Location:

INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

Jordan’s foreign policy will echo domestic Gaza risk

Location:

JORDAN

The Israel-Hamas conflict looms large in Jordanian public opinion, presenting possible domestic challenges to the government. It also places pressure on core foreign policy…

UNRWA row fallout could devastate Gaza Palestinians

Location:

PALESTINIANS

Also yesterday, the head of the Saudi humanitarian agency emphasised that some countries’ decisions to halt UNRWA funding risked “aiding” the deaths of Gaza civilians. Some 1.9…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

US peace efforts will face Arab distrust

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Washington seeks a ceasefire and offers a pathway to a Palestinian state, but the region’s public is sceptical

Partnerships between AI firms and militaries will grow

Location:

INT

However, recent trends and developments in the AI industry also point towards these same tools’ potential to serve valuable defence purposes, including threat detection, enhanced…