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Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 1

Location:

INTL

The new year promises geopolitical complexity and volatility for businesses and investors alike

Islamic State will prepare for the next phase

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

As the salafi-jihadist group loses its territorial ‘caliphate’ in Syria and Iraq, it is redeploying fighters and funds

French elections are likely to see shift to the right

Location:

FRANCE

With a divided Left, the presidential elections may become a competition between the centre-right and the far-right

Arab states will struggle to reduce youth unemployment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

State dominance and high birth rates undermine regional states' ability to create enough jobs for the young

Exports and remittances drive Bangladesh economy

Location:

BANGLADESH

Bangladesh's dependence on remittances and exports of ready-made garments is acute and at risk of exogenous shocks

Cheap oil risks long-term Middle East stability

Location:

MENA

The oil price slump is straining finances across most of the region, raising the potential for instability down the line

Egyptian economy will take years to improve

Location:

EGYPT

Cairo's priority is to address energy and dollar shortages

Risks and opportunities, 2017: Part 2

Location:

INT

2017 will be a year of consequences of the geopolitical unpredictability of 2016

Myanmar Rohingya crisis will cause global controversy

Location:

MYANMAR

A flare-up of violence in Myanmar has triggered mass refugee flows and sparked regional and global concern