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Ankara will probably let Moscow get its way on Syria

Location:

TURKEY

Ankara and Moscow are guarantors of the ceasefire in the Syrian civil war that came into effect on December 30. Both the ceasefire and the Russian-Turkish partnership are still…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Turkey's foreign policy will increase its isolation

Location:

TURKEY

However, it has sometimes combined a very confrontational public relationship, including public attacks on an international institution, with a much more cooperative private…

Ankara will stick to its Syria policy despite Moscow

Location:

TURKEY/RUSSIA

Confrontations between Russian and Turkish fighter jets along the Turkish-Syrian border -- which triggered strong expressions of support for Turkey from NATO and the EU -- have…

Lebanese economy on course for muted recovery in 2015

Location:

LEBANON

According to its Global Economic Prospects report, the bank forecast a modest increase in GDP growth in 2015 to 2.0%, up from an estimated 1.5% in 2014. Since 2011, the economy…

Syria sees an energy deficit despite military advances

Location:

SYRIA

The Syrian army and its allies have driven IS out of most of the region from Homs to the edge of the Euphrates valley, recapturing several gas fields. This has yielded a marginal…

Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests

Location:

SYRIA

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

Syria will struggle to address acute energy shortages

Location:

SYRIA

This is part of a wider energy crisis that is also evident in the long queues outside petrol stations and in the difficulty that bakeries face in securing fuel, on top of the…

Beirut may miss out on brighter growth prospects

Location:

LEBANON

The wage scale law was cast into question when a contentious tax hike law intended to fund it was annulled by the Constitutional Council on September 22, partly on the grounds…

Gulf states will need Turkey to counter Iran

Location:

GULF STATES/TURKEY

Relations between the Gulf states and Turkey.