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Economic success will elude Macri in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

The 2018 currency crisis left the economy in one of the deepest downturns of the last decade, repeating the cyclical pattern in place since 2011 of one year of growth followed by…

Argentine default fears will not subside this year

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ARGENTINA

Despite exchange rate stabilisation in the last two months, the country risk premium had remained above 800 basis points since early April, reaching a peak of 1,008 on June 3…

Colombia’s economy faces sluggish growth in 2024

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COLOMBIA

Expectations for 2024 suggest lower inflation than last year, but risks persist. The OECD forecasts moderate GDP growth, highlighting inflation and interest rate concerns. Minimum…

Coalition puts Vazquez on the back foot in Uruguay

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URUGUAY

Uruguay's economic outlook.

Prospects for Latin America in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for Latin America in the fourth quarter.

Inflation adds to Brazil’s multiple economic woes

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BRAZIL

This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…

Inflation to drive more monetary tightening in Mexico

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MEXICO

While inflation is easing in the United States, it is still increasing in Mexico. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep raising its benchmark rate, pushing Banxico to…

Argentina currency crisis highlights policy vacuum

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ARGENTINA

In recent days a severe currency run drove a 12.2% depreciation of the peso and an estimated fall of nearly 5 billion dollars in international reserves (8% of that stock). The…

Poor outlook drives fiscal expansion in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

Soon after taking office, President Mauricio Macri announced a "rain of new investments" from foreign companies attracted by the business-friendly tone set by his administration…

Opposition splits may favour Argentina budget bill

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ARGENTINA

Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne presented a bleak draft 2019 budget to Congress on September 17, overshadowed by the announcement that a federal judge had charged former…