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Prospects for the euro-area in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

This forecast implies the continuation of this year's rapid recovery into 2022. However, it depends on some risks abating, particularly with regard to inflation, and hence…

Securitised Middle East COVID-19 responses raise risks

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MIDDLE EAST

The pandemic has compounded existing economic and political crises in Beirut and Baghdad, with the securitisation of the response straining military and state legitimacy…

Colombia tax reform and budget will be watered down

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COLOMBIA

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

East Africa may face prolonged pandemic

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EAST AFRICA

Other regional countries are now also receiving COVAX shipments, but all will face enormous challenges in bringing the pandemic under control.

High US unemployment means social fabric risks

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UNITED STATES

Unemployment insurance claims have risen sharply during the pandemic. The Labor Department will release its latest data later today: total claims are likely to involve 30 million…

COVID-19 shocks point to recession in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA

The economic impact of COVID-19.

COVID-19 threatens high death toll in Haiti

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HAITI

COVID-19 in Haiti.

South African lockdown easing should reduce hardship

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SOUTH AFRICA

The re-opening comes despite an infection rate that is expected to peak only later this year.

Prospects for India in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Meanwhile, GDP is projected by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to grow by 9.5% in the fiscal year ending March, rebounding from its 7.3% contraction in 2020/21. Economic goals…

Prospects for South-east Asia to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

This is helping to insulate them from immediate political pressures relating to the pandemic crisis, but their hopes for spurring long-term economic recovery depend greatly on…