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Near- and friend-shoring markedly alter trade flows

Location:

INT

The United States, Europe and Japan are trading more together and less with China, which is trading more with Russia

The world economic downturn will be mild but prolonged

Location:

INT

Core CPI is easing towards 2% official targets in major nations, but not fast enough for rate cuts to boost 2024 growth

Risks and opportunities 2019: The biggest risks

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INT

The contest between China and the United States will shape many of the key risks in 2019

A China crisis is bigger systemic threat than markets

Location:

INT

China’s influence on the global real economy is a bigger risk than events in fragile Italy, Turkey and Argentina

China-US intellectual property tension will intensify

Location:

INT

The United States and China are at opposite ends of the intellectual property spectrum -- setting the scene for friction

Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 2

Location:

INTL

The pace of US monetary policy normalisation and China's slowdown will be key determinants of 2016 growth

Tariffs will test not reconfigure global supply chains

Location:

UNITED STATES-CHINA

The United States and China are imposing tariffs on over 50 billion dollars of the other’s imports -- and threaten more

Iran nuclear deal should hold despite challenges

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UNITED STATES-IRAN

After one year, the landmark agreement continues to find support in the US and Iranian presidential administrations

Cyber threats drive global technological decoupling

Location:

INT

5G relies heavily on software and will be the core underlying infrastructure for all future digital activities

Policy is key to curbing the forces driving inequality

Location:

INT

The rich are getting richer globally but policies fostering redistribution, diversification and growth can check this