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Divided ANC undermines Ramaphosa’s capacity to govern

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

These challenges are interlinked, and all threaten Ramaphosa’s standing over the medium term. They also influence Ramaphosa’s ability to manage an intensely divided ANC, with…

Provinces blamed for COVID third wave shortcomings

Location:

CANADA

Some of Canada’s largest provincial governments have seen their approval ratings fall in the wake of the third wave, although there has been little impact on the Liberal…

Second COVID-19 wave will test Madagascar’s Rajoelina

Location:

MADAGASCAR

However, with a second wave underway and the mining and tourism sectors -- key foreign exchange earners -- upended, he recently changed tack, authorising an immunisation programme…

Correa will be a major figure in Ecuador’s elections

Location:

ECUADOR

Precluded from running for the top job after having already served two terms, Correa has been selected as the running mate of Andres Arauz, a relatively unknown 35-year-old, who…

Uncertainties over COVID-19 impacts fuel market fears

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Financial market reactions to the pandemic

Virus storm will erode Hungarian government’s position

Location:

HUNGARY

Fidesz faces an election in spring 2022. The spectre of a weaker position in the EU and increased EU scrutiny on Hungary’s rule of law record could deal the party further blows…

Prospects for East Asia to end-2020

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PROSPECTS 2020 H2

In different ways, all will experience significant economic damage and political consequences, ranging from the standing of incumbent leaders to changes in the regional security…

India's Modi will struggle to keep promises by 2019

Location:

INDIA

Evaluation of the Modi government's performance half-way into its term.

Russian pharma sector faces pandemic pressures

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia has a thriving pharmaceutical sector, but companies are struggling to meet the surge in demand for a range of essential drugs. The obstacles come from new supply-chain…

Chinese influence in Latin America will increase

Location:

LATIN AMERICA/CHINA

This robust response, which contrasts with low-key and smaller-scale US reactions, is a testament to China’s economic and diplomatic standing, which in recent years has become…