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India will be vigilant but not worried about al-Qaida

Location:

INDIA

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

Maldives tourism may help gauge India-China rivalry

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MALDIVES

Amid calls in India to boycott travel to the Maldives, relations between the Maldives and China are growing stronger

Major challenges lie ahead for Bangladesh’s leader

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BANGLADESH

The visit was especially notable in light of the tough measures the United States adopted to promote democracy in Bangladesh ahead of the January general election, and…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

US trade exposure to China will remain high

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

In January-November, imports of Chinese goods dropped more than 20% year-on-year. China’s share of total US imports plunged to 13.9% from 16.7% in the same period in 2022, while…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

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CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

US WTO reform proposals will gain little traction

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UNITED STATES

Tai will continue to make the Biden administration’s case that the WTO needs reform to make it fit for purpose in the 21st century. Opposition to reform will come from India and…

Russia will rely more on Chinese demand for gas

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RUSSIA

Modestly increased gas exports to China have offset only a fraction of the lost business in Europe. The United States last year imposed sanctions on the flagship Arctic-2 LNG…

Prospects for China’s politics in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The market-oriented, technocratic approach that Li pursued contrasts with President Xi Jinping’s expansion of state control across sectors such as finance and prioritisation of…

Biden's foreign policy goals face pressure at home

Location:

UNITED STATES

Zelensky failed to convince Congress to unlock USD61bn of stalled assistance to Ukraine. As the presidential election looms, President Joe Biden will need to draw on significant…