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INTERNATIONAL: Euro-area and US activity will diverge
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281495
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
UNITED STATES: Flash PMI supports soft landing outturn
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282917
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
UNITED STATES: Slowing CPI raises hope of soft landing
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES275298
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
UNITED STATES: CPI expectations and energy key to GDP
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES271766
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB242443
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113
ISSN: 2633-304X
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However, it now anticipates that the contraction will be 1.0%, down from a previous forecast of 1.5%. This is in line with recent Chilean Central Bank forecasts of a…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278370
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The falling lira coincides with signs of policy disagreements and rumours of Deputy Prime Minister Mehmet Simsek's resignation. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB231968
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…