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Immigration policy could topple Swedish government

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SWEDEN

This is a lower forecast than the 170,000 the agency predicted in October, before Sweden reimposed controls at its border with Denmark. The immigration issue is causing strains…

Five-party Czech government must compromise on policy

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CZECH REPUBLIC

The five-party coalition enters office at a time of intense economic and social uncertainty resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, rising debt and soaring energy prices. Prime…

Tunisia’s new government will prioritise efficiency

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TUNISIA

The administration has set out a list of priorities, most of which relate to the dire state of the economy and public finances.

Price protests may not bring down Azerbaijani regime

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AZERBAIJAN

Authorities took too long to adjust the exchange-rate regime under pressure from falling oil prices, wasting resources that could have been used to shore up the banking sector…

Government may water down Greek pension reform

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GREECE

Pension reform is a critical compliance requirement for the Greek authorities with the 'quadriga' of creditors -- ECB, European Commission, European Stability Mechanism and IMF -…

High US unemployment means social fabric risks

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UNITED STATES

Unemployment insurance claims have risen sharply during the pandemic. The Labor Department will release its latest data later today: total claims are likely to involve 30 million…

Slower Polish growth may upset 2019 budget targets

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POLAND

With a two-year electoral cycle getting under way, the PiS government may be tempted to increase social spending. The stronger-than-expected economic outturn in the first half of…

Pandemic will force economic policy reversal in Brazil

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BRAZIL

The crisis induced by the COVID-19 epidemic and social distancing measures to contain it will leave deep scars on the Brazilian economy. Still struggling to recover the ground…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Costa Rica’s pandemic response faces political hurdles

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COSTA RICA

In August, it asked the IMF for a USD1.75bn credit under the Extended Fund Facility. This will come on top of the USD504mn approved by the IMF for emergency financial assistance…