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Tight US job market will only suffer a mild downturn

Location:

UNITED STATES

The US economy faces a period of slow growth and possibly a short and shallow recession, but this is unlikely to cause a significant weakening of labour markets.

Soft policy leaves Swedish krona open to attack

Location:

SWEDEN

Macroeconomic outlook for Sweden.

Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

Location:

UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

Prospects for the euro-area to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Inflation expectations matter more than unemployment

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The surge in inflation this year owes more to supply bottlenecks caused by the release of pent-up demand than to falling unemployment. In the decade before the pandemic, US…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Prospects for the global economy in 2017

Location:

PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the global economy in 2017.