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Russian oil exports will be tested in future

Location:

RUSSIA

Most of Russia’s hydrocarbon export revenues are generated from oil now that gas sales have collapsed. Ambitious state spending plans are based on oil revenues rising this year…

The central banks face an increasingly complex dilemma

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INTERNATIONAL

With inflation lasting longer than expected, worries about the impact on banking may limit the scope for more rate hikes. Equally, a pause could undermine central banks'…

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

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RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Prospects for African economies to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The downgrade reflects the expected realisation this year of the delayed global economic slowdown. The resulting debt overhang in the region has depleted the space for fiscal…

Severity of Israel’s downturn hinges on conflict moves

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ISRAEL

Israel’s war with Hamas is taking a growing toll on the economy mainly due to labour shortages. The economy has recovered quickly from previous short wars, but this conflict…

Albania’s tourist boom will endure

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ALBANIA

Albanian tourism is booming. The country has posted Europe’s strongest growth in terms of overnight stays (the EU average was 13%). More than 60% of bookings came from foreign…

Israel will struggle to meet fiscal targets

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ISRAEL

This follows a last-minute deal between Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and ultra-Orthodox coalition partners allocating more religious education funding. Coalition bargaining…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

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MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…