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Russia and Turkey may still diverge over Syria

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TURKEY/RUSSIA

Quite unexpectedly, Turkey's hopes of reviving its trade and energy partnership with Russia, largely frozen after the November 24 incident, are fast reviving. On June 27, Russia…

Iran deal failure would raise Middle Eastern tensions

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MIDDLE EAST

The chances of reviving the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, nuclear deal) are slim. Western governments hope that an agreement will reduce regional tensions. Arab…

Economic policy will be unpredictable after Turks vote

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TURKEY

The TCMB has responded quickly to a new wave of lira volatility ahead of local elections, forcing banks to borrow at the overnight rate of 25.5% instead of the 24.0% policy rate…

Algeria elections may not bring economic recovery

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ALGERIA

The new parliament could provide an opportunity for a review of Algeria’s economic policy options. The previous legislature was constrained by the fact that it had been elected…

Crises could cause Palestinian Authority to collapse

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PALESTINIANS

The PA faces financial collapse and a leadership and security crisis. It provides education, health and other government services to the great majority of Palestinians and shares…

Iran president vote heralds full conservative control

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IRAN

Two-thirds of legislators in the conservative-dominated parliament today called on four of the five conservative candidates to withdraw in favour of frontrunner Ibrahim Raisi, now…

Plans for North African unity could be short-lived

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NORTH AFRICA

On April 22, Tunisian President Kais Saied hosted his Algerian counterpart, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, and the head of Libya’s Presidential Council, Mohammed al-Menfi, for a trilateral…

Lebanese gains from Syrian rebuilding may be limited

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LEBANON/SYRIA

Lebanese plans to gain from Syria's reconstruction.

Credibility deficit curbs North Africa jihadism battle

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NORTH AFRICA

The ideological battle in North Africa

Modi's UAE trip augurs status quo, not strategic pact

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INDIA/UAE

Both India and the UAE hope the first visit by an Indian prime minister for 34 years will boost a relationship that has struggled to take root. Officials on both sides have failed…