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Sri Lanka’s leader looks set for tough poll fight

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SRI LANKA

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

The EU will get tougher on Hungary and Poland

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EU/POLAND/HUNGARY

The EU has struggled for years to sanction Hungary and Poland; it was moved to act partly by the seriousness of recent developments, including in Poland's legal sphere. A new…

Russian reform blueprint may be politically untenable

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RUSSIA

President Vladimir Putin's advisers are drafting a strategic plan for reinvigorating the economy, to form part of his campaign programme for the March 2018 election. Putin's…

Success of new US nuclear arms focus not certain

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UNITED STATES

The document is the first comprehensive statement by President Donald Trump’s administration on its approach to nuclear strategy, modernisation of the US nuclear arsenal and…

Macedonian deal could upset Greece’s bailout exit

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GREECE

This is almost certainly the last Eurogroup before Greece’s third economic adjustment programme terminates on August 20. Both sides seek an orderly phase-out so that what has…

Ukraine war unlikely to transform EU-UK security ties

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EU/UK

It has required a degree of EU-UK coordination, especially to facilitate the implementation of sanctions imposed on Russia’s economy, leadership and regime-supporting elite…

Extensive ECB response will reduce depth of recession

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INTERNATIONAL

Far from being nonplussed by Germany’s Constitutional Court ruling of May 5 that the ECB’s Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) may be illegal, it doubled the programme on June…

Property defaults may cause localised crises in China

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CHINA

The outcome of China's real estate credit crunch is of keen interest to the leading players in China's Party-state and provinces, to foreign financial institutions seeking to…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…

Myanmar's 'lame duck' period to see economic reform

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MYANMAR

They discussed 'national reconciliation' and Suu Kyi and the president agreed to set up a working group on the transition of power that will bring to an end more than half a…