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Armenia will avoid severing ties with Russia

Location:

ARMENIA

Relations with Moscow have become even more strained since the September 2023 fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, compounding the shock caused by Russia failing to protect Armenia from…

China's presence in Central America will strengthen

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CENTRAL AMERICA

Nicaraguan lawmakers approved a Chinese loan for a new airport last month, negotiations with Honduras over an FTA are progressing and the new government of Guatemala -- Taiwan’s…

Switzerland will be slow to harden its China position

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SWITZERLAND/CHINA

Among the priorities in the declaration is updating the Swiss-Chinese free trade agreement (FTA) and simplifying travel procedures between the two countries. Switzerland’s…

Guatemalan-US ties will continue to strengthen

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GUATEMALA/US

Support from Washington helped President Bernardo Arevalo take power in January, resetting relations after a period of strain under former President Alejandro Giammattei…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Americas Act seeks to recover US role in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA/US

US concerns have been growing over China’s increasing presence in Latin America. To date various US initiatives have failed to present an alternative to China’s expanding trade…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

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RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

US forces will likely withdraw from Niger

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NIGER

This occurs amid a breakdown in Niger's relations with the United States following the junta’s March 16 abrogation of a military agreement governing the presence of US troops in…

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

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ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…