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Islamic State will prepare for the next phase

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

As the salafi-jihadist group loses its territorial ‘caliphate’ in Syria and Iraq, it is redeploying fighters and funds

Beijing closes gap in South China Sea island race

Location:

ASIA PACIFIC

China is constructing artificial islands on reefs in the disputed Spratly islands of the South China Sea

Marginalisation will sustain smuggling in Libyan south

Location:

LIBYA

Smuggling fuel and people is the only economic option for many in the southern deserts

South Sudan peace rests on resolving states impasse

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Sub-national governance structures are crucial to the way patronage, power and control are exercised within the country

Under-investment leaves Latin America open to disaster

Location:

LATAM

Natural phenomena threaten much of Latin America, and the damage they cause will depend as much on money as on nature

Insecurity plagues Africa's equatorial belt

Location:

CENTRAL AFRICA

From the Atlantic to the Indian Ocean, violence permeated politics in 2016

Myanmar: 'Nationwide' ethnic peace will lag election

Location:

MYANMAR

Eight ethnic groups have signed up to negotiate for peace, but the November 8 election interregnum complicates any deal

Colombia to buck regional defence spend trends in 2018

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Among stagnant or falling defence spending regionwide, only Colombia has seen a marked increase

Killings will refocus attention on Brazil’s Amazonia

Location:

BRAZIL

The June murders of a UK journalist and a Brazilian rights activist will again spotlight environmental fears in Amazonia

Vietnam's economic needs will limit diplomatic freedom

Location:

VIETNAM

Vietnam seeks a wider array of diplomatic partners to counterbalance Beijing's maritime assertiveness