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Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

Location:

INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…

Libyan energy ambitions will likely fall short

Location:

LIBYA

Earlier, on January 7, NOC was forced to declare force majeure at Sharara oil field, the country’s largest, after protests shut it down. Oil and gas usually account for more than…

Uganda faces early tensions ahead of 2026 polls

Location:

UGANDA

The government swiftly blocked these efforts, deploying a robust security presence on the streets and around key opposition leaders’ homes. However, this is only the latest…

Ban on Germany’s far right is unlikely

Location:

GERMANY

The controversy fuels a debate about a possible ban of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD). While the constitutional hurdles remain high, German officials have begun to…

New legislation will worsen Hong Kong repression

Location:

HONG KONG

It is a rewriting of the National Security Law adopted in 2020 under Article 23 and is being fast-tracked by lawmakers. It aims to expand government powers against dissent as…

Taiwan-China tensions will continue to rise

Location:

TAIWAN/CHINA

In an apparent expansion of its claims in the Taiwan Strait, China has responded by increasing patrols near Kinmen. The Chinese coast guard on February 19 boarded a Taiwanese…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Mining will stoke tensions in Ecuador

Location:

ECUADOR

The move raises risks for Noboa, who presented himself during his presidential campaign as environmentally aware. An ongoing dispute in Cotopaxi between indigenous communities and…

Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

Location:

IRAN

Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…