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Angolan government will point to early reform progress

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ANGOLA

The underperformance of the oil sector, coupled with a recent fuel distribution crisis, have combined to dampen growth forecasts for 2019. While President Joao Lourenco’s…

COVID-19 crisis could alter Angolan power dynamics

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ANGOLA

Various restrictions are being eased, and parts of the economy gradually reopened, although a sanitary cordon around Luanda remains. Angola has 73 confirmed COVID-19 cases…

Athens-Moscow upgrade need not worry West

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GREECE

The outcome corresponds neither to the hopes of those who believed in a radical upgrading of relations between Russia and Greece, nor to the fears of those who had speculated that…

Slovenia's window of opportunity to reform is closing

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SLOVENIA

The economy has been growing respectably, helped by rising exports, inward foreign direct investment (FDI), the ECB's quantitative easing and large inflows of EU structural funds…

Reform resistance may lead to fresh Greek election

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GREECE

Greece's bailout.

South African entrenched interests could stifle reform

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SOUTH AFRICA

Although this was above market expectations and the economy has avoided entering a technical recession, fears persist over the slow pace of reforms by President Cyril Ramaphosa’s…

Pakistan will be optimistic about its IMF talks

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PAKISTAN

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

Greek coalition will play politics at debt talks

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GREECE

The government, with half an eye on a snap election, is determined not to accede to prolonged austerity without the trade-off of significant debt relief. Timing is all. The…

Post-election governance will be troubled in Peru

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PERU

Fujimori, in turn, has resorted to more populist pledges in her attempt to attract voters, especially in rural areas. However, neither candidate can rest assured that endorsements…

Unions could complicate Ramaphosa’s social compact

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SOUTH AFRICA

While details are scant, the 'social compact' reportedly includes clearer deliverables than previous recovery plans. However, fears persist over government capacity to deliver and…