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ECB and Fed to delay rate cuts to sustain disinflation

Location:

EU/US

Disinflation is underway on both sides of the North Atlantic, but it is not yet deeply entrenched, giving both central banks a reason to delay cuts. The ECB must contend with…

Shrinking market imbalances will help cut US inflation

Location:

UNITED STATES

An embedded wage-price spiral took hold in the late 1970s; the price of breaking it was almost a decade of high unemployment. Today's situation more closely resembles 1946-48…

Oil prices are likely to stay high to the end of 2018

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for the oil price.

Central banks will be slow to drop targeting prices

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Inflation targeting.

Prospects for fossil fuels in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

US shale is now the swing provider in global oil markets and rising prices have encouraged production increases. With prices for future delivery lower than spot rates, buyers are…

The US Treasury market is vulnerable to stress

Location:

INT

The US Treasuries securities market is the world's largest and most liquid financial market, and is relied on by market participants as a basis to price other risks. However, on…

Financial stability fears rise as ‘everything’ rallies

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

There are fears of a bubble reminiscent of the 1990s dot-com mania. The froth is most apparent in US stock markets, where retail traders are wielding increasing influence…

Prospects for natural gas in the fourth quarter

Location:

PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for natural gas in the fourth quarter.

Prospects for oil in the third quarter

Location:

PROSPECTS Q3 2015

The outlook for oil in the third quarter.

Credit crunch will crimp US shale producers

Location:

UNITED STATES

The report suggests that the resilience of US shale oil production to price collapse is beginning to fade. OPEC producers, particularly Saudi Arabia, have hoped to drive down…