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The ECB will be slow to expand unconventional policy

Location:

EU

While the Governing Council is divided over the issue, President Christine Lagarde appears to favour more active fiscal policy by member states to stabilise the European economy.

Low interest rates may be the new normal

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INTERNATIONAL

Modelling lower rates for longer.

Turkey’s illiberal economic model will extend further

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TURKEY

Erdogan spoke with pride of imposing additional customs duties to protect domestic industries, cheapening credit and launching a national car project. Economic policies are…

Overheating may tighten Central Europe monetary policy

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CZECH/HUNGARY

The meetings are expected to provide forward guidance on monetary policy. With consumer prices reaching a five-and-a-half year high in Hungary and a seven-month high in the Czech…

Room for more rate cuts is limited in Central Europe

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Policy implications of the downward pressure on inflation from the renewed oil price decline.

Japan may tighten monetary policy

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JAPAN

BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda described it as a 'technical adjustment', but markets were unconvinced: stocks dropped globally, the yen surged and bond yields shot up. Traders…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

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EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Lower rates will return, amplify and raise challenges

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INTERNATIONAL

The identification of the impact of wars and pandemics on interest rates has been difficult for lack of data. Recent research efforts have overcome this. Pandemics tend to push…

Monetary easing efficacy is decreasing globally

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INTERNATIONAL

Efficacy of monetary policy at the zero lower bound.

India will deepen liberal reform and fiscal devolution

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INDIA

Modi's economic policy course.