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Risk and Opportunities, 2018, Part 3

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INT

Risks mostly ignored by investors in 2017 will move front-of-mind in 2018

Rising inequalities will increase climate change costs

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INT

Carbon emissions inequality between and within nations fuels internal and multilateral debates about climate funding

Colombia’s new drug strategy faces major challenges

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COLOMBIA

As the president looks to garner support for a new drug strategy, UN data show coca and cocaine output are up again

Green New Deal will energise both parties’ 2020 pushes

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UNITED STATES

The Green New Deal calls for massive social, economic and energy reform including net-zero US emissions in ten years

Philippines politics will be turbulent in 2016

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PHILIPPINES

The Philippines needs a strong new president from May 2016, but the presidential race is already fractious

Africans will increase digital payment use

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AFRICA

Digital transactions are on the rise, even where internet access lags

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

Ports will be central to South Asia’s alliances

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SOUTH ASIA

Powers from within and beyond the region are investing heavily in harbours to bolster trade and expand influence

South-east Asian tax variances imply mixed outlook

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

As South-east Asia integrates, governments must factor tax regimes and competitiveness, and other structural reforms

Patent protectionism could impede innovation globally

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INT

Amid US-China tensions, China has ruled that most iPhones breach patents and must be banned