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Global economic modelling requires rethink

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Methodological changes in economic forecasting.

Global liquidity risks a heavy slump in EMs

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INTERNATIONAL

Global liquidity trends.

Parties will raise Turkish voters' economic hopes

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TURKEY

Parties' pre-election promises on the economy.

Brazil fiscal and welfare spending demands will clash

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BRAZIL

The economy is at a crossroads: high unemployment and increasing poverty are generating pressures for greater income transfers, but the delicate fiscal position is generating…

Eurogroup deal will do little for Greek GDP growth

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GREECE

The negotiations with Greece's creditors revealed fundamental disagreements in lenders' views on the sustainability of Greece's debt and failed to address the drivers of future…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Meanwhile, the already dire state of public finances is set to deteriorate further as the economic impacts of the COVID-19 dampen revenues and increase debt, further undercutting…

IMF deal may aid economic stabilisation in Suriname

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SURINAME

This is positive news for the country, which experienced a sharp economic decline in 2020 and had been struggling to bolster economic activity for several years before that. New…

Ambitious reform plan will test Saudi government

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SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi National Transformation Program.

Italy’s Conte will not fully implement fiscal plan

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ITALY

The new government’s investiture vote in parliament on June 5-6 was preceded by massive volatility in financial markets. Its fiscal plan appears unsustainable and its views on EU…

Post-poll turmoil may worsen Pakistan’s economic woes

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PAKISTAN

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…