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South Africa faces long-term threats to stability

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SOUTH AFRICA

This reflects concerns over systemic corruption, high-level impunity, ruling party dysfunction, growing criminality and violence and infrastructure failures, among other…

Italy’s public sector reforms face uphill battle

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ITALY

The PNRR is vital to revive growth in the EU’s most fragile economy. In addition to providing foundations for a strong economic recovery from COVID-19, the PNRR also focus on…

Prospects for South Africa in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

The party faces both extreme internal divisions -- which helped spark the July uprising -- and increasing voter disaffection, raising questions about its longevity as the ruling…

Purging Turkish army will leave it more politicised

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TURKEY

Turkey's post-coup military.

Rule of law will undermine Italy’s growth potential

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ITALY

Relative to its peers, Italy ranks poorly on rule of law and institutional efficiency indices. Tackling those shortcomings could be crucial to maximising the economic benefit of…

New Uruguay government's COVID-19 boost will not last

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URUGUAY

The contraction preceded the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak. The large inherited fiscal deficit and rising debt-to-GDP ratio are forcing the new government to take unpopular…

France’s Macron faces major test to bolster his appeal

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FRANCE

Yet Macron’s chronically poor approval ratings have been accompanied in the last year by a series of sustained societal protests, political missteps and growing disaffection…

Unions could complicate Ramaphosa’s social compact

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SOUTH AFRICA

While details are scant, the 'social compact' reportedly includes clearer deliverables than previous recovery plans. However, fears persist over government capacity to deliver and…

Prospects for Russian domestic politics in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Russian domestic politics in 2019.

Right-wing party could reshape Romanian politics

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ROMANIA

They face an opposition formed of the new radical right and liberal challengers. After decades of largely non-ideological competition focused on corruption and other symbolic…