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Saudi campaign will shape, not end Yemen conflict

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YEMEN

Lessons from the Yemen conflict.

Syria’s Deraa will see chronic instability and poverty

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SYRIA

This came as Damascus blamed a former rebel leader for the May 4 abduction and killing of nine policemen in the nearby town of Muzayrib. The security situation in Deraa, which…

Prospects for Iran in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…

Morocco faces a low risk of major terrorist attacks

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MOROCCO

Security campaigns suggest concerns about the possibility of domestic terrorism threats and the seeming desire of Moroccan hardliners to fight in the Sahel. Yet arrests also…

COVID-19 response may disrupt power balances in Iran

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IRAN

The Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC), together with its Basij militia, has partly restored its reputation for effective action. At the same time, new local civil society…

Mauritania’s new president will focus on inequality

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MAURITANIA

Ould Ghazouani’s campaign in June focused on social and regional inequalities and the need for a more independent judicial system. Since taking office in August, Ould Ghazouani…

Tunisia’s local elections will help Saied

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TUNISIA

Apart from President Kais Saied's core supporters, most Tunisians chose to ignore the event, deeming it irrelevant to the country’s current concerns. The elections are part of a…

Egypt president will face more challenges to his rule

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EGYPT

The speaker of parliament, Ali Abdel-Aal, said that MPs “will never allow cabinet ministers and provincial governors to export problems to the president”. Egypt's parliament is…

New spending alone will not revive Turkish south-east

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TURKEY

Prospects for engineering economic revival in south-eastern Turkey.

Poverty and corruption will feed Egypt opposition

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EGYPT

Hundreds of people protested in Cairo, Alexandria, Suez and El-Mahalla El-Kubra, prompted by a former construction contractor for the military, Mohammed Ali, who has been posting…