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Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Argentine presidential debate leaves no clear winner

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ARGENTINA

Two of the five have less than 5% support among those intending to vote, and the debate centred on the three competitive candidates in the October 22 elections: Economy Minister…

A new Polish government must undo PiS state capture

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POLAND

The United Right (ZP) coalition gained most votes, but lacked a government-forming majority. The opposition -- the Civic Coalition (KO), the Third Way (TD) coalition of Szymon…

Weak opposition will buy Nigeria's Tinubu time

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NIGERIA

Nevertheless, it remains mired in many of the same basic governance and security challenges that derailed its predecessors. There is little evidence that it has a plan to address…

Opposition will struggle for consensus in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

Thirteen candidates made the March 25 deadline. This did not include Corina Yoris, nominated three days previously by Maria Corina Machado, the disqualified candidate of the…

Election tensions threaten South Sudan's stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

However, in a context of low trust and weak institutions, the move towards elections increases the risk of violence before, during and after the polls.

Taiwan’s president-elect faces a divided parliament

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TAIWAN

Voters elect representatives from their geographic constituencies (73 seats) and vote separately for a political party, which then fields 34 legislators-at-large not tied to a…

Colombia local elections to test anti-Petro sentiment

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COLOMBIA

While only sub-national positions will be contested, results will be influenced by economic and security matters at both local and national levels and, to some degree, by public…

Bolivia party divisions point to turbulent election

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BOLIVIA

Each seeks the recognition of the electoral authorities, which have hitherto refused to choose sides. However, a legal ruling by the constitutional tribunal is pushing the…

Egypt’s Israeli ties will persist despite war

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EGYPT

It hosted an international conference on October 21 to promote diplomatic efforts to that end, and as the humanitarian crisis deepened, officials have ratcheted up their rhetoric…