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Higher interest rates will stress real estate activity

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

House prices have risen by 15% in emerging nations since end-2019 and 26% in advanced nations but price growth will slow

Risks and opportunities 2021: Global economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic and health policies are key to the West and many developing nations emerging swiftly from double-dip recession

Inclusion and privacy policies may lag cashless growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Cashless spending is surging, giving customers and traders more flexibility and reducing ‘organisational’ costs

Spending patterns portend permanent economic changes

Location:

INT

Services spending shows little sign of recovering, exacerbating the inflationary imbalances in durable goods and energy

Trade performance will be key to the recovery of GDP

Location:

INT

GDP contracted across the world in the second quarter and the shape and size of recession varied widely by region

Coronavirus will hit tourism-driven economies’ growth

Location:

INT

Outbound Chinese tourists totalled 150 million in 2018, up from 10 million in 2000, and they spent 277 billion dollars

The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise

The emerging markets recovery will be fragile

Location:

INT

Economic disruption has lasted longer for EMDCs than for advanced economies and China; this will hinder their prospects

Turkey to flirt with crisis despite its net trade boom

Location:

TURKEY

Erdogan’s export-led GDP policy has supported five quarters of 6%+ GDP growth, but the lira has plunged since September

Persistently high food prices may spark social unrest

Location:

INT

Cereal grains such as wheat provide essential sustenance to humans and animals; price surges raise risks of food crises