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Delhi's strategic aims in Myanmar will be frustrated

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INDIA/MYANMAR

This meeting is the latest in a flurry of diplomatic contacts between both countries since Myanmar's government came to office in March. Delhi feels that this new, mostly civilian…

Myanmar military will count on Russian support

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MYANMAR

Unlike most Western powers, Russia has refused to condemn the February 1 coup in which the Myanmar army ousted the country’s democratically elected civilian government. Russia’s…

Myanmar’s military seek new foreign partners

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MYANMAR

Discussion included the Northern Alliance of four ethnic minority armed groups fighting the Tatmadaw in north-eastern Myanmar bordering China. The meeting exemplifies the…

China will steadfastly back Myanmar’s military

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MYANMAR/CHINA

The junta in Naypyidaw is under growing external pressure to restore the democratically elected civilian government. Several Western powers, including the United States, have…

ASEAN aims to widen focus beyond Myanmar at summits

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ASEAN

This is in response to what some ASEAN members regard as obstructionism towards the bloc’s five-point plan for resolving Myanmar’s post-coup tensions. Min Aung Hlaing will miss…

Cambodia will try to rebalance its partnerships

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CAMBODIA

Cambodia, chairing ASEAN this year, is attempting to further the bloc’s five-point plan for easing Myanmar’s post-coup tensions. Separately, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida…

ASEAN summit will make little progress except on trade

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ASEAN

South-east Asian leaders will discuss the South China Sea dispute, the Rohingya crisis in Myanmar and regional trade. ASEAN’s eight dialogue partners, including the United States…

ASEAN will be weakened by internal strains

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ASEAN

This year, it plans to hold its 38th and 39th summits back-to-back on October 26-28. The decision to postpone the first meeting is likely a response to internal strains. The bloc…

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023.

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Meanwhile, the Myanmar junta and the military-aligned Thai government are under pressure from opponents, and the Philippines is gearing up for elections. With COVID-19 vaccination…