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Labor lacks decisive mandate to face challenges ahead

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AUSTRALIA

Voters used the election to pass judgement on both Labor and the coalition. The Liberals did worse than expected and their leader, like that of the Nationals, has been replaced…

EU fiscal reform will be modest at best

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EU

Member states will start to negotiate possible reform of the fiscal rules in October, aiming for agreement by March. The outcome will be vital for spending and tax policy across…

Australia frictions with China will last for now

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AUSTRALIA/CHINA

His comments follow a number of Chinese moves against Australian produce which Australia argues are punishment for Canberra pushing for a World Health Organization (WHO…

Yemeni truce faces short- and long-term issues

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YEMEN

Despite its flaws and mutual accusations of minor breaches by the Huthi and the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), the UN-brokered ceasefire has brought tangible and welcome…

Slovenia’s minor parties will hold post-election key

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SLOVENIA

Slovenia is entering elections in a state of heightened tension. The country is politically polarised between liberal-left and conservative camps. The most likely outcome is an…

Cambodia opposition ban would increase sanctions risk

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CAMBODIA

This follows a Supreme Court spokesman’s October 8 confirmation that the court will hear a motion calling for the opposition Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) to be ordered…

Pressures will pile on refugees to leave Lebanon

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LEBANON

Their situation is increasingly precarious as Lebanese officials call for their forced return amid mounting domestic crises. The situation is getting bleaker, as Lebanon is…

Mexico energy dispute will not break USMCA

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MEXICO

The talks (intended to avoid arbitration) are unlikely either to promote major shifts in Mexico’s position or to rupture the USMCA. They will conclude next month at the latest, 75…

Cambodia opposition ban will help government for now

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CAMBODIA

This follows the Supreme Court’s November 16 decision (which cannot be appealed, the court said) to order the CNRP to be dissolved and 118 of its most senior officers banned from…

New Zealand coalition’s fortunes rest on 2019 moves

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NEW ZEALAND

The coalition reaches this anniversary amid strong fiscal and economic prospects for New Zealand and with firm public support.