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New route could derail US Keystone XL pipeline

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Keystone XL extension is a major new proposed oil pipeline project, with implications for US-Canada trade (at a time of uncertainty surrounding NAFTA negotiations), Canadian…

US Fed communication will be key to economic prospects

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UNITED STATES

While Chair Jerome Powell cautions that full employment remains some way off, the Fed is considering how and when to wind down its asset purchases. It could give more guidance at…

Markets are overreacting to US price and rates risks

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UNITED STATES

The continuation of the modest manufacturing downturn follows the recent report of slower third-quarter GDP growth. Despite slower growth, bond markets are challenging an attempt…

VW fallout will dampen diesel demand

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INTERNATIONAL

The scandal has disrupted the auto industry worldwide and prompted speculation that automakers will shift from diesel engines to other low-emission technologies, especially…

IPEF talks must contend with US political cycle

Location:

UNITED STATES

The IPEF is the Biden administration’s bid to strengthen the role of the United States in setting the 'rules of the road' for economic relations in the region. It has set an…

Border adjustment tax scheme would hit US oil refiners

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UNITED STATES

Congressional Republicans are mulling the introduction of a border adjustment tax (BAT) regime as part of an overhaul of the US tax system. For the oil industry, the reform would…

New Fed chair will bring continuity but raise unknowns

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INTERNATIONAL

A majority vote of the Senate is expected to approve the appointment by the end of January. Although already a Fed governor, Powell’s training is legal and his experience is…

Sharing economy to force new EU, US policy battlelines

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EU/US

The ECJ case will decide whether Uber is a transport or an online services company for the purposes of EU law. This will determine which EU regulatory regime applies. After…

Prospects for the US economy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the US economy to end-2022.

US economy myths risk distorting trade policymaking

Location:

UNITED STATES

In reality, US exports and manufacturing output have never been higher. However, less than 9% of the workforce is in manufacturing, and communities and workers have been adversely…