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Little scope for much-needed rise in budget spending

Location:

INT

High demands on increasingly strained public budgets are fuelling fiscal sustainability fears and bond market sell-offs

Global demand for tech talent is uneven

Location:

INT

Mass layoffs at ‘big tech’ firms have disrupted the tech labour market

‘Green’ tech will power industrial commodity prices

Location:

INT

Demand will surge for the minerals for low-carbon technologies, but supply is concentrated and will lag, raising prices

Differentiated approach aids emerging market assets

Location:

INT

US GDP upgrades are fuelling price fears and a bond market sell-off, but investors are differentiating more between EMs

Emerging markets growing old faster than growing rich

Location:

INT

Emerging markets are ageing at lower incomes than advanced markets, a policy challenge that will influence GDP prospects

The semiconductor demand/supply imbalance will persist

Location:

INT

Semiconductor supply is failing to keep pace with surging demand for use in electronic devices, telecoms and automobiles

Race for key minerals will affect economic prospects

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Critical minerals supply will be key to all economies’ prospects ahead just as fossil fuel trade balances have been

High food and metals prices will outlast the conflict

Location:

INT

Russia accounts for 1.7% of world GDP but a sizeable share of supplies of fertiliser, fuels and some foods and metals

This downturn will be more job-rich than past slumps

Location:

INT

Employment recovered far faster from the pandemic global recession than past crises, and remains historically strong

Security risks may rise in emerging markets

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

2016 will be a crucial year for emerging economies struggling to adapt to slower growth