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A close Colombian run-off could prompt fraud claims

Location:

COLOMBIA

With leftist voters firmly behind Petro, more conservative undecided voters may give Hernandez a slight advantage. Colombians abroad are already casting their ballots, meaning…

First round highlights far-right strength in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

He will face an October 30 run-off against President Jair Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL), who received 43.2%. Lula came close to outright victory and remains the favourite…

Argentina's poverty woes have no short-term solution

Location:

ARGENTINA

The political and election climate.

Economic outlook remains weak in Jamaica and Trinidad

Location:

JAMAICA/TRINIDAD

Inflation and interest rates are up, although unemployment and poverty levels remain relatively low. More generally, both countries are being challenged by rising rates of violent…

Presidential run-off is likely in Costa Rica next year

Location:

COSTA RICA

This appears to reflect high levels of disillusionment with established political parties, possibly exacerbated by several public sector corruption scandals that have emerged in…

Crowded field will blur election outlook in Peru

Location:

PERU

Campaigning is reaching a crescendo for the April 11 election. A crowded field of presidential candidates means that no one has yet emerged as clear front runner, and a second…

Mexico State election will have national impact

Location:

MEXICO

While Mexico State is just one of four states scheduled to go to the polls on June 4, the result of its election will be the most important by far, influencing projections for…

Colombia city votes will weaken national government

Location:

COLOMBIA

The government’s low approval ratings nationally, and especially in some major cities, notably Bogota, Medellin and Cali, suggest that candidates belonging to or endorsed by the…

Frente Amplio will struggle to reach run-off in Chile

Location:

CHILE

On July 2, the Frente Amplio (FA), a new left-wing alliance, held a primary election to select its presidential candidate. Building on FA’s participation in last year’s municipal…

Second round will be closely fought in Peru

Location:

PERU

A second round will take place on June 5, between Fujimori and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, who came second. Both espouse orthodox economic policies. The business sector is relieved…