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Risks and opportunities 2020: International

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Risks centre on trade, cybercrime and the manufacturing weakness spreading to services, but new technologies offer hope

US-China tariffs will prompt supply chain switching

Location:

INT

Industrial policy in both countries aims to stimulate indigenous manufacturing

Pandemic will alter the apparel sector permanently

Location:

INT

The pandemic has altered consumption patterns and deepened environmental concerns in this vital economic sector

Services trade is crucial to emerging growth prospects

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INT

Services trade receives far less focus than goods trade but exports of services outpaced goods shipments from 2000-16

Patent protectionism could impede innovation globally

Location:

INT

Amid US-China tensions, China has ruled that most iPhones breach patents and must be banned

EV uptake to change US economy and politics

Location:

UNITED STATES

The United States has drawn huge investments from rivals in the race to electrify transport and create green jobs

Post-sanctions opening could transform Iran's economy

Location:

IRAN

Sanctions have limited Iran's huge growth potential for decades

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

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INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

Car-driven Central-East European economies risk smash

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Record Czech car output could go unsold if another slump in Western Europe prompts buyers to delay new car purchases

AI proliferation will have serious environmental costs

Location:

INT

Recent breakthroughs in AI will intensify the digital economy’s environmental footprint