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Poland’s expected new government faces range of risks

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POLAND

Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

Iraqi Kurds’ economic trap will drive instability

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IRAQ

The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) emphasised it had sent the federal finance ministry a promised full list of employees on April 21; however, Baghdad sources said…

Egypt will face multiple risks in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…

Cambodia’s Hun Manet will prioritise economy

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CAMBODIA

The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) -- led by former premier Hun Sen, Hun Manet’s father -- won 120 out of 125 seats in the National Assembly, the lower house, in last July’s…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

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MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Major tests lie ahead for Ecuador’s Noboa

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ECUADOR

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

Belgium should survive surge of Flemish far right

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BELGIUM

The party’s core goals are to achieve independence for Flanders and implement significant restrictions regarding asylum and migration policy. Belgium’s mainstream parties have…

Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

Turkey’s president will eye Istanbul battle

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TURKEY

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is determined to win the city back from the opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP). With a population of over 16 million, Istanbul accounts for…

Morocco will struggle to lift growth rates

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MOROCCO

This is below the medium-term target of average annual real GDP growth of 6%, with economic performance largely affected by poor agricultural harvests. There was a modest recovery…