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Niger will look to Western partners to boost security

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NIGER

This represents a key success for Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum’s policy of leveraging strong relations with Western partners as a core element in his security strategy to…

Congo heads towards a turbulent election season

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The opposition has recently held multiple protests denouncing problems with electoral preparations, which the authorities have firmly suppressed. The elections are due in December.

AI's promise and pitfalls will affect key domains

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INT

AI promises to drive economic efficiencies across sectors, improve the delivery of critical services such as healthcare, democratise access to knowledge and skills, and tighten…

Egypt will try to strengthen its position in Libya

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LIBYA

This was a show of strength and a threat to Cairo, given the value of remittances sent home by the many Egyptian labourers in the east. The move reflected the undercurrent of…

The United States will balance North African ties

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NORTH AFRICA

US attention to the region has risen amid tenser Algerian-Moroccan ties. Harris underlined that any military escalation would be "quite alarming" and would set back prospects for…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

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EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

Somali offensive against al-Shabaab faces setbacks

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SOMALIA

This follows multiple political and military setbacks in the FGS’s offensive against jihadist group al-Shabaab, which has delivered notable gains over the past year but is now at…

Mozambique faces difficult days ahead

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MOZAMBIQUE

Beyond the major security and humanitarian concerns this is generating, it has also worried investors who were already hesitant about supporting the restart of liquefied natural…

Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict over Karabakh is settled

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ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The region’s Armenian majority population has fled; displaced Azerbaijanis have returned to Karabakh and formerly occupied surrounding districts. Russia refused to support its…

The Huthis will grow more emboldened within Yemen

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YEMEN

These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…