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Saudi power centralisation faces medium-term risks

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SAUDI ARABIA

Those freed include senior prince Walid bin Talal and other heads of large companies: it is unclear whether they handed over economic assets in exchange. Crown Prince Mohammed bin…

Radical nationalists could upset new Slovak government

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SLOVAKIA

Incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico’s gradual adoption of nationalism, aversion to migration and conspiracy theories have jeopardised Slovakia’s reputation as a reliable partner…

Afghanistan's neighbours irritated by US rapprochement

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AFGHANISTAN

After a series of conciliatory moves, the Biden administration is trying to persuade the Taliban to make concessions in return for financial assistance. Taliban leaders are…

Massa rallies but Argentina run-off remains open

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ARGENTINA

The Massa-Milei run-off was widely expected but the result of the October 22 first round was less so, with Massa receiving 36.7% of the vote to nearly 30.0% for Milei. Much will…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Setbacks are likely in Sudan’s fraught transition

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SUDAN

Pressures facing Sudan's transition.

Middle East’s Druze may solidify Damascus relationship

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MIDDLE EAST

A previous deal saw six captives released on October 20. IS had taken women and children from Suweida’s Druze community in July. Damascus has faced widespread anger over the July…

Nigeria's Rivers State dispute raises instability risk

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NIGERIA

The dispute centres over Wike’s efforts to retain control of state resources, the legislature and administrative machinery and Fubara’s efforts to assert his independence from his…

Sudan’s new government offers few new ideas

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SUDAN

The ruling party's response to the Sudan protests.

South Africa faces long-term threats to stability

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SOUTH AFRICA

This reflects concerns over systemic corruption, high-level impunity, ruling party dysfunction, growing criminality and violence and infrastructure failures, among other…