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Kenya’s new budget targets significantly lower deficit

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KENYA

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…

Zambia debt crisis faces imminent tipping point

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ZAMBIA

President Edgar Lungu and his Patriotic Front (PF) government are increasingly struggling to mobilise resources to meet repayments amid continued high public spending. Meanwhile…

Somalia faces long road to economic reconstruction

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SOMALIA

Despite the government’s genuine efforts to implement policy reforms, low to non-existent institutional capacity will continue to impede the emergence of a more formalised…

Politics will dictate Sudan’s economic outlook

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SUDAN

The dialogue explicitly aims to assist Sudan’s military rulers and political forces to agree on reviving the transition to democracy. It is also critical to the economic outlook…

Angolan government will point to early reform progress

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ANGOLA

The underperformance of the oil sector, coupled with a recent fuel distribution crisis, have combined to dampen growth forecasts for 2019. While President Joao Lourenco’s…

Ethiopia’s conflict clouds the economic outlook

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ETHIOPIA

Both are desperately needed, as G20 debt service relief will soon expire, and as the conflict in northern Ethiopia increasingly strains the economy and the government’s finances.

Zambia’s debt deal may face a geopolitical tug of war

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ZAMBIA

A deal under the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatment was expected by end-2022. However, amid geopolitical tensions, China has been blamed for the delay by figures including US…

Prospects for African economies to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for African economies to end-2022.

Kenya faces growing fiscal consolidation challenges

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KENYA

The weakness of the Kenyan shilling, which is constantly hitting new record lows, has generated so much concern that, on October 24, parliament summoned the central bank governor…

Sudan’s exchange rate reform opens path to debt relief

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SUDAN

The move opens the door to expanded international aid and debt relief under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative, but at the cost of increased economic pressures…