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Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

Location:

NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

South Korea may seek nuclear weapons

Location:

SOUTH KOREA

Yoon had controversially raised that prospect a year ago. Han Dong-hoo -- head of Yoon’s conservative ruling People Power Party (PPP), and a likely future presidential contender…

North Korea will provoke further

Location:

NORTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA: Further provocations likely

Limited Pyongyang-Seoul conflict looks more likely

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA: Limited conflict more likely

Pyongyang will bolster ties with Tehran

Location:

NORTH KOREA/IRAN

NORTH KOREA/IRAN: Bilateral ties will grow

Pyongyang will continue to boost military capabilities

Location:

NORTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA: Military capabilities will be boosted

Pyongyang-Tokyo ties will remain frozen

Location:

NORTH KOREA/JAPAN

NORTH KOREA/JAPAN: Ties will remain frozen

China’s defence spending will remain stable

Location:

CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

East Asian trilateralism will remain challenging

Location:

EAST ASIA

EAST ASIA: Trilateralism will remain challenging