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Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

Location:

UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

Brazil banks foresee renewed lending growth this year

Location:

BRAZIL

The Brazilian financial system, which is still dominated by five state and private banks, saw slower loan growth and worsening asset quality in 2023 due to high inflation and…

After a strong year for Australia, growth will slow

Location:

AUSTRALIA

This figure is higher than the RBA’s forecast of 1.5%, as labour demand remains strong and business investment resumes as supply chain disruption subsides. However, persistent…

Prospects for the euro-area in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in July-September, according to updated estimates from Eurostat this month, having grown by 0.2% in the second quarter and not at all in…

Russia will expand support to small businesses

Location:

RUSSIA

However, small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) play a significant role in the economy, especially in service industries. They also provide a rising share of new jobs. The…

Supply woes offset soft demand to lift copper prices

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Equities of copper mining companies fared marginally better. The expected supply glut did not materialise in 2023, owing to supply disruptions, while the price was supported by…

Ultra-low China CPI alters domestic and world dynamics

Location:

INT

This ultra-low inflation environment poses new challenges for China's development prospects. It underscores mounting structural problems and weakens the confidence of consumers…

ECB and Fed to delay rate cuts to sustain disinflation

Location:

EU/US

Disinflation is underway on both sides of the North Atlantic, but it is not yet deeply entrenched, giving both central banks a reason to delay cuts. The ECB must contend with…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…