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China-Central Asia relations will deepen

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CENTRAL ASIA/CHINA

Beijing values Central Asia as an important partner as its global rivalry with the United States escalates on the one hand and Russia’s regional role weakens on the other. Central…

A Saudi Arabia-Iran deal will boost security and trade

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SAUDI ARABIA/IRAN

Relations between Riyadh and Tehran have long been characterised by political tension, and episodes of proxy military confrontation. Ties reached their nadir in 2016 when…

Tajik-Iran ties may improve but without old closeness

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TAJIKISTAN/IRAN

Relations are recovering rapidly from three years of estrangement, though so far there is little economic substance to the friendlier atmospherics. Tajik Foreign Minister…

Taliban politics will hinder international acceptance

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AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban have focused on negotiating a government among themselves and show little sign of heeding international concerns about their policies, even if these obstruct the…

Turkmenistan cannot sell more gas despite new finds

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TURKMENISTAN

Turkmenistan's oil and gas prospects.

Pragmatism will dictate US interests in Central Asia

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CENTRAL ASIA/US

US interest in Central Asia, particularly Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, appears to be rising after several years of declining engagement. The two major Central Asian states…

Afghan economy is unmanageable despite fiscal gains

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AFGHANISTAN

Meanwhile, the government is struggling to mitigate economic collapse. Nearly half the population is close to hunger, although international aid has helped prevent a worse…

Iran’s Chabahar contribution faces challenges

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IRAN

Iran’s efforts to implement the project are part of the country’s long-term goal of becoming a regional transit hub. The port at Chabahar and a connecting railway remain…

Canberra will pursue moderation amid China-US tensions

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AUSTRALIA

Maritime disputes in the South China Sea throw two key Australian foreign policy objectives into contention: maintaining close security ties with Washington and developing…

Australia will seek to entrench US 'pivot' to Asia

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AUSTRALIA

The prospects for Australian foreign policy in the next 18 months.