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Prospects for Iran in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

China’s economic model will evolve

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping first used the concept on an inspection visit in Heilongjiang province in September 2023. The NPF concept recognises that China's existing growth model cannot…

Swedish minority government will hold together for now

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SWEDEN

Curbing immigration is a central element in the agreement between the minority government and the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) to secure their support in parliament. One year…

Bhutan’s new government may find itself stretched thin

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BHUTAN

The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) was the winner. Poll campaigning was dominated by debate over the economic headwinds facing the small Himalayan kingdom, which lies between…

High employment and low wages will curb Russian growth

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RUSSIA

In defiance of expectations following the imposition of severe sanctions, the unemployment rate has hovered around 3.2%. Yet rather than a sign of resilience, low unemployment…

Russian household consumption is recovering slowly

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RUSSIA

This was the first acceleration after twelve consecutive declines and was driven by an 11% rise in the prices of services. The war in Ukraine has exposed Russia’s consumers to…

Industry robots will lift productivity and inequality

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INT

In 2021, the last year for which data are available, a record 517,000 robots were installed in manufacturing facilities globally. A new study focusing on the United States finds…

Milei risks rapid loss of Argentina political capital

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ARGENTINA

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

Foreign firms' influx will accelerate Saudi change

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SAUDI ARABIA

Without this, companies will not be awarded any government contract worth more than SAR1mn (around USD220,000). To date, the government has issued 162 regional headquarters…