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Iran's military will keep asymmetric advantage in Gulf

Location:

IRAN

With geopolitical tensions in the Gulf rising as a result of Saudi and Iranian involvement in Syria and Yemen, the risk of military escalation in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz…

Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

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IRAN

Washington has increased pressure on Tehran on a near-daily basis since it designated the IRGC as a terrorist organisation on April 8. The United States has imposed new sanctions…

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016.

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

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ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

Israel-Hamas-Hezbollah manoeuvring endangers Lebanon

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL/LEBANON

The killing of Hamas leaders abroad follows existing Israeli policy. However, the greater significance stems from the challenge presented to the wider Iranian ‘Axis of…

Huthi missile attacks on Abu Dhabi face constraints

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

This came as Emirati-backed forces continued their advance towards Yemen’s Marib city. On January 17 and 24, the Huthis launched major long-range missile and drone attacks on the…

Economic warfare in Yemen could boost piracy risk

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YEMEN

Since it began in March 2015, the many-sided conflict has become internationalised, following threats to the vital shipping artery in the Bab al-Mandab strait, through which trade…

Yemen war may see a lull, but peace prospects are poor

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YEMEN

This complicates direct talks that began recently between Saudi Arabia and the Huthis on a resolution to the wider conflict. Meanwhile, the first visible signs of progress in…

Cyber conflict will probably become more destructive

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INTERNATIONAL

Although Orangeworm is not believed to be state-backed, governments are prioritising the development of offensive cyberweapons but deploying them in different ways. These range…

Allies will seek reassurance from next US president

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UNITED STATES

Trump's statements on foreign policy have vexed the leaders of countries allied with the United States, particularly NATO members and in East Asia. Both Clinton and Trump have…