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Chances of renewed conflict in western Yemen are high

Location:

YEMEN

That is one of the terms of the Stockholm Agreement, signed in December 2018, which was the first -- and thus far only -- successful step toward de-escalation taken by the warring…

Eastern EU may target those vulnerable to inflation

Location:

EU

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

Location:

RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Russia and Turkey will avoid igniting Karabakh war

Location:

CAUCASUS

Implications of a serious bout of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Political divisions muted but not dead in Ukraine

Location:

UKRAINE

The authorities are clamping down on political parties seen as pro-Russian, although they took a month to do so. The invasion has focused the political class's attention on…

Iran's military will keep asymmetric advantage in Gulf

Location:

IRAN

With geopolitical tensions in the Gulf rising as a result of Saudi and Iranian involvement in Syria and Yemen, the risk of military escalation in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz…

US action against jihadists rests on politics, not law

Location:

UNITED STATES

Senate Republicans have reopened the legal debate over the power of AUMFs and the ability of presidents to send forces anywhere at any time unilaterally. The debate has…

A solution to the Western Sahara conflict is elusive

Location:

WESTERN SAHARA

The UN and the United States are trying to push for a return to the negotiating table, likely the focus of separate visits by UN and US officials to the region in early September.

Yemen prospects hinge on the battle for a key city

Location:

YEMEN

Despite intensified diplomatic activity this week via Oman, the Huthis have reportedly brought more troops up to the front lines, while the Saudi-led coalition backing the Hadi…

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

Location:

LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…