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Rapid recovery will prove elusive in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

Location:

RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

Slow and stuttering rebound for global manufacturing

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Growth rates are strongest in the Americas, China, India and the Middle East. However, disruptions in the Red Sea and Panama Canal, and now the closure of the port of Baltimore…

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

US interest in unionisation is tentative but growing

Location:

UNITED STATES

The union represents some 340,000 workers at UPS, the largest US package delivery company. The United States is experiencing a rise in strikes and work stoppages espite low union…

Germany’s economy will struggle to grow this year

Location:

GERMANY

GDP appears to have remained flat, quarter-on-quarter, in January-March, while there was a significant fall in industrial production in March and in investor confidence over the…

China set for near-5% growth amid imbalances and risks

Location:

CHINA

Quarter-on-quarter growth accelerated to 1.6%, from 1.2% previously. A 6% year-on-year expansion in the secondary sector -- manufacturing and construction -- led the growth, while…

The entwining of tariffs and US politics will continue

Location:

UNITED STATES

With trade policy, particularly towards China, likely to have an unusually high-profile role in this year’s presidential election, there is a growing awareness of the extent to…

Manama will struggle to vary its investor offering

Location:

BAHRAIN

The Economic Development Board (EDB), the country’s investment promotion agency, announced in March that its ‘golden licence’ scheme of incentives for local and foreign investors…