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China’s shifting trade flows face challenges

Location:

CHINA

Its first-half trade performance offers evidence of the country’s ability to adapt to abrupt changes in the international economic environment. As the world’s first ranking…

Egypt will struggle to meet basic needs

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EGYPT

Cairo is now making direct purchases instead of using tenders to get wheat on favourable terms, including a purchase of Russian wheat from a trading firm earlier in September. The…

Pipeline rupture threatens South Sudan’s stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

This episode could have a significant impact on South Sudan's government, which derives almost 90% of its revenue from oil.

Emirati foreign policy will draw strong criticism

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…

Prospects for Mexico to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Elections are not scheduled until June 2024, but the remainder of this year will be dominated by preparation, posturing and manoeuvring. Economic growth is gaining momentum, but…

Turkey-Turkmen-Iranian gas swap could move quickly

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TURKEY/TURKMENISTAN

Europe is increasingly interested in accessing large Turkmen gas reserves, potentially via Turkey, which has reached agreements with Turkmenistan on possible swap deals via Iran…