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Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Morocco will press on with its outreach to the Sahel

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MOROCCO

During that meeting, discussions focused on a Moroccan proposal to grant these landlocked countries access to the Atlantic Ocean. The proposal hints at a transactional…

Ethiopia faces tough negotiations around IMF programme

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ETHIOPIA

Addis Ababa must reach an agreement with the IMF to honour its commitments under its debt-service suspension agreement with official creditors. Thereafter, further talks will be…

Americas Act seeks to recover US role in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA/US

US concerns have been growing over China’s increasing presence in Latin America. To date various US initiatives have failed to present an alternative to China’s expanding trade…

Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

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BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

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AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

Mining will stoke tensions in Ecuador

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ECUADOR

The move raises risks for Noboa, who presented himself during his presidential campaign as environmentally aware. An ongoing dispute in Cotopaxi between indigenous communities and…

Political strife may hit business sentiment in Vietnam

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VIETNAM

The government statement announcing the news alluded to “violations” and “shortcomings” that adversely affected public opinion and the CPV’s reputation. Thuong became president on…

EU will be assertive with new trade defence tools

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EU

First cases pursued under the FSR show it could be one of the most far-reaching of the strategic autonomy measures introduced under this Commission. One Chinese company has…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…