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Key Indian development target is highly challenging

Location:

INDIA

The target is associated with reaching GDP of USD30tn, compared with less than USD4tn currently. Modi, in power since 2014, appears on course to win a third straight term.

China’s economic model will evolve

Location:

CHINA

President Xi Jinping first used the concept on an inspection visit in Heilongjiang province in September 2023. The NPF concept recognises that China's existing growth model cannot…

Gulf states: Western investment drive will accelerate

Location:

GULF STATES

This trend was sustained in 2023 with USD23bn worth of investments in US markets alone. However, Gulf investments are subject increasingly to greater Western scrutiny because of…

Climate needs and debt to hit lower-income states hard

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Debt distress is related to both global financial conditions -- such as the strength of the US dollar -- and growing climate vulnerabilities. Greater attention and funding to…

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:

GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

China’s exports will recover but trade sanctions loom

Location:

CHINA

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

China’s AI chip industry will grow but still lag

Location:

CHINA

China is working hard to boost its domestic AI chip industry in response to US restrictions. The support significantly impacts the development of its entire AI sector, the…

Saudi Aramco will seek to manage rapid industry change

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Yet this follows a government directive that the company cancel increases in its maximum sustainable capacity (MSC) of crude oil production from 12 million barrels per day (b/d…

Asia ‘ex-China’ investment will struggle for traction

Location:

ASIA

There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…