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These markets are benefitting from the softer US dollar and improved investor perceptions of central bank credibility. However, destabilising factors loom on the horizon.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280542
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279530
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
After the 2021-22 post-pandemic rebound, growth is stabilising at around 2%. Barring new external shocks, it is expected to remain at this level in the coming years. Improved…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284334
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
This irregular weather phenomenon appears ahead of the southern hemisphere spring growing season, disrupting harvests by creating untypically severe aridity or wetness. No two El…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281960
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
This year is ending on a very weak note. The WTO and IMF both downgraded their forecasts for world trade in 2023 last month and their projections for stronger growth in 2024…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283367
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
The relative sluggishness is due partly to the delayed impacts of financial tightening and reduced global demand. While domestic demand has been the primary engine of growth, the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284178
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
This is the first time since 2010 that new members have been invited to join the group, signalling growing confidence among ‘middle powers’ and their intent to establish…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282614
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285741
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
A move away from the US dollar is gaining momentum, driven by the West’s use of economic sanctions, high levels of sovereign debt and a desire to de-link monetary policy from the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280571
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
Estimates see world trade rebounding from sub-1% to 3.5% in 2024, even though all regions are slowing or growing slowly